Manifold invited people based on having advocated for prediction markets, which is a much stricter criterion than being a generic public speaker that feels positively about your organization. With a smaller pool of speakers, it is not trivially cheap to apply filters, so it is not as clear cut as I claimed. (I could have found out this detail before writing, and I feel embarrassed that I didn’t.)
Despite having an EA in a leadership role and ample EA-adjacent folks that associate with it, Manifold doesn’t consider itself EA-aligned. It sucks that potential EA’s will sometimes mistake non-EA’s for EA’s, but it is important to respect it when a group tells the wider EA community that we aren’t their real dad and can’t make requests. (This does not appear to have been common knowledge so I feel less embarrassed about this one.)
Un-endorsed for two reasons.
Manifold invited people based on having advocated for prediction markets, which is a much stricter criterion than being a generic public speaker that feels positively about your organization. With a smaller pool of speakers, it is not trivially cheap to apply filters, so it is not as clear cut as I claimed. (I could have found out this detail before writing, and I feel embarrassed that I didn’t.)
Despite having an EA in a leadership role and ample EA-adjacent folks that associate with it, Manifold doesn’t consider itself EA-aligned. It sucks that potential EA’s will sometimes mistake non-EA’s for EA’s, but it is important to respect it when a group tells the wider EA community that we aren’t their real dad and can’t make requests. (This does not appear to have been common knowledge so I feel less embarrassed about this one.)