Responding to part of your comment: I think OpenPhil or some other organization is actively looking for people to help put better numbers (I think they called them base rates) for risk from engineered pandemics. If you cannot find this “call for proposals” within 20 minutes of Googling and browsing the EAF, I can try to dig that up.
Yes that is super relevant. Hopefully there would even be information coming out from such work that could help people working on refuges/shelters calculate likely reductions in biological risk. This would help both assess different proposed solutions against each other as well as help inform whether a refuge/shelter should be built at all (it seems initially that one would want a substantial reduction in the risk in order to proceed with something as ambitious as a refuge/shelter).
Responding to part of your comment: I think OpenPhil or some other organization is actively looking for people to help put better numbers (I think they called them base rates) for risk from engineered pandemics. If you cannot find this “call for proposals” within 20 minutes of Googling and browsing the EAF, I can try to dig that up.
For convenience: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xFsmibHafAu8APgiS/request-for-proposals-help-open-philanthropy-quantify
(Deadline has passed, but it seems likely to be an ongoing need.)
Yes that is super relevant. Hopefully there would even be information coming out from such work that could help people working on refuges/shelters calculate likely reductions in biological risk. This would help both assess different proposed solutions against each other as well as help inform whether a refuge/shelter should be built at all (it seems initially that one would want a substantial reduction in the risk in order to proceed with something as ambitious as a refuge/shelter).