FWIW I re-ran the model with two changes - (a) Probability moral patients = 0.95 and (b) value of chicken compared to human ranging between 1⁄100,000 and 1⁄100. Here are the results:
Ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF
Your results show the mean ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF is roughly directly proportional to the 90th percentile of the moral weigh of chickens if these are moral patients. I selected a value which is 1 k (= 10⁄0.01) times as large as yours, so I got a ratio which is 1 k times as large.
I would be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 10 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01.
>I would be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 10 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01.
Sorry, not sure I understand, my intention was to apply probability of moral patienthood at 95%, not 10%.
In the Colab, I modelled the moral weight given moral patienthood based on the 10th and 90th percentiles, so I thought you had changed these.
In any case, I would also be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 5 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01. This is 2 k times as large as my 95th percentile.
Great post!
FWIW I re-ran the model with two changes - (a) Probability moral patients = 0.95 and (b) value of chicken compared to human ranging between 1⁄100,000 and 1⁄100. Here are the results:
Ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF
mu = 14.7838855503632
sigma = 66.74845969785116
percentile5 = 0.0697604616065207
median = 2.0520772418771545
percentile95 = 62.02562191180946
Thanks for experimenting!
Your results show the mean ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF is roughly directly proportional to the 90th percentile of the moral weigh of chickens if these are moral patients. I selected a value which is 1 k (= 10⁄0.01) times as large as yours, so I got a ratio which is 1 k times as large.
I would be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 10 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01.
>I would be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 10 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01.
Sorry, not sure I understand, my intention was to apply probability of moral patienthood at 95%, not 10%.
In the Colab, I modelled the moral weight given moral patienthood based on the 10th and 90th percentiles, so I thought you had changed these.
In any case, I would also be curious to understand why you assign a probability of only 5 % to chickens, given moral patienthood, having a moral weight larger than 0.01. This is 2 k times as large as my 95th percentile.