Executive summary: Metaculus has significantly enhanced its platform and expanded its initiatives from mid-2024 to early 2025, fostering greater user engagement, broadening global collaborations, and introducing innovative features to advance forecasting and public sense-making.
Key points:
Achieved record user growth and engagement through major tournaments like the Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest, attracting over 17,000 participants globally.
Expanded international presence with Spanish and Portuguese-language tournaments and collaborations with global media outlets, increasing Metaculus’s global footprint.
Partnered with influential organizations such as the CDC and GiveWell to inform public health policy and improve charity funding decisions, demonstrating practical impact.
Launched advanced forecasting initiatives, including the AI Forecasting Benchmark with a $30,000 prize pool, benchmarking AI capabilities against top human forecasters.
Implemented significant platform improvements by making Metaculus open source, enhancing user features, and introducing experimental tools like forecasting indexes and community creation.
Organized expert workshops and research projects on critical topics like synthetic biology, AI economic impact, and national security, driving informed public sense-making.
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Executive summary: Metaculus has significantly enhanced its platform and expanded its initiatives from mid-2024 to early 2025, fostering greater user engagement, broadening global collaborations, and introducing innovative features to advance forecasting and public sense-making.
Key points:
Achieved record user growth and engagement through major tournaments like the Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest, attracting over 17,000 participants globally.
Expanded international presence with Spanish and Portuguese-language tournaments and collaborations with global media outlets, increasing Metaculus’s global footprint.
Partnered with influential organizations such as the CDC and GiveWell to inform public health policy and improve charity funding decisions, demonstrating practical impact.
Launched advanced forecasting initiatives, including the AI Forecasting Benchmark with a $30,000 prize pool, benchmarking AI capabilities against top human forecasters.
Implemented significant platform improvements by making Metaculus open source, enhancing user features, and introducing experimental tools like forecasting indexes and community creation.
Organized expert workshops and research projects on critical topics like synthetic biology, AI economic impact, and national security, driving informed public sense-making.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.