I didn’t mean to imply that. I think we very likely need to solve alignment at some point to avoid existential catastrophe (since we need aligned powerful AIs to help us achieve our potential), but I’m not confident that the first misaligned AGI would be enough to cause this level of catastrophe (especially for relatively weak definitions of “AGI”).
This seems to imply that you couldn’t get misaligned AGI arriving and it not causing an existential catastrophe. Is that correct?
I didn’t mean to imply that. I think we very likely need to solve alignment at some point to avoid existential catastrophe (since we need aligned powerful AIs to help us achieve our potential), but I’m not confident that the first misaligned AGI would be enough to cause this level of catastrophe (especially for relatively weak definitions of “AGI”).