You repeatedly affirm that you think naive calculations, unconstrained by our most basic social knowledge about reliable vs counterproductive means of achieving social goals, are suited to answering these questions
Where did I say this?
I’m not going to repeat the whole OP in response to your comments.
You’re assuming that you responded to my question in the original post. But you didn’t. Your post just says “trust me guys, the math checks out”. But I see no math. So where did you get this from?
I’m arguing that true expected value is best approximated when constrained by reliable heuristics.
“Arguing”? Or asserting?
If these are arguments, they are not quite strong. No one outside of EA is convinced by this post. I’m not sure if you saw, but this post has even become the subject of ridicule on Twitter.
Not every causal contribution to a bad outcome is a “problem” in this sense. Oxygen also causally contributed to every bad action by a human—without oxygen, the bad act would not have been committed.
Okay, I didn’t realize we were going back to PHIL 101 here. If you need me to spell this out explicitly: SBF chose his career choice because he was encouraged by prominent EA leaders to earn to give. Without EA, he would have never had the means to start FTX. The-earn-to-give model encourages shady business practices.
The connection is obvious.
Saying this has nothing to do with EA is like saying the Stalin’s governance had nothing to do with Marxism.
Denying the link is delusional and makes us look like a cult.
Where did I say this?
You’re assuming that you responded to my question in the original post. But you didn’t. Your post just says “trust me guys, the math checks out”. But I see no math. So where did you get this from?
“Arguing”? Or asserting?
If these are arguments, they are not quite strong. No one outside of EA is convinced by this post. I’m not sure if you saw, but this post has even become the subject of ridicule on Twitter.
Okay, I didn’t realize we were going back to PHIL 101 here. If you need me to spell this out explicitly: SBF chose his career choice because he was encouraged by prominent EA leaders to earn to give. Without EA, he would have never had the means to start FTX. The-earn-to-give model encourages shady business practices.
The connection is obvious.
Saying this has nothing to do with EA is like saying the Stalin’s governance had nothing to do with Marxism.
Denying the link is delusional and makes us look like a cult.