Great read, and interesting analysis. I like encountering models for complex systems (like community dynamics)!
One factor I don’t think was discussed (maybe the gesture at possible inadequacy of f(N) encompasses this) is the duration of scandal effects. E.g. imagine some group claiming to be the Spanish Inquisition or the Mongol Horde, or the Illuminati tried to get stuff done. I think (assuming taken seriously) they’d encounter lingering reputational damage more than one year after the original scandals! Not sure how this models out; I’m not planning to dive into it, but I think this stands out to me as the ‘next marginal fidelity gain’ for a model like this.
Great read, and interesting analysis. I like encountering models for complex systems (like community dynamics)!
One factor I don’t think was discussed (maybe the gesture at possible inadequacy of f(N) encompasses this) is the duration of scandal effects. E.g. imagine some group claiming to be the Spanish Inquisition or the Mongol Horde, or the Illuminati tried to get stuff done. I think (assuming taken seriously) they’d encounter lingering reputational damage more than one year after the original scandals! Not sure how this models out; I’m not planning to dive into it, but I think this stands out to me as the ‘next marginal fidelity gain’ for a model like this.
Thanks Oliver! It seems basically right to me that this is a limitation of the model, in particular f(N), like you say.