Thanks for writing this up!!
Although I have not seen the argument made in any detail or in writing, I and the Future of Life Institute (FLI) have gathered the strong impression that parts of the effective altruism ecosystem are skeptical of the importance of the issue of autonomous weapons systems.
I’m aware of two skeptical posts on EA Forum (by the same person). I just made a tag Autonomous Weapons where you’ll find them.
Thanks for pointing these out. Very frustratingly, I just wrote out a lengthy response (to the first of the linked posts) that this platform lost when I tried to post it. I won’t try to reconstruct that but will just note for now that the conclusions and emphases are quite different, probably most in terms of:
Our greater emphasis on the WMD angle and qualitatively different dynamics in future AWs
Our greater emphasis on potential escalation into great-powers wars
While agreeing that international agreement (rather than unilateral eschewing) is the goal, we believe that stigmatization is a necessary precursor to such an agreement.
If you were logged in and go back to the page and try to comment again (or if you were replying to a specific comment, click reply on that comment again), the old comment you were writing might appear. No promises, though.
The problem is I was not logged in on that browser. It asked me to log in to post the comment, and after I did so the comment was gone.
We usually still save the comment in your browser local storage. So it being gone is a bit surprising. I can look into it and see whether I can reproduce it (though it’s also plausible you had some settings activated that prevented localstorage from working, like incognito mode on some browsers).
I think I was on Brave browser, which may store less locally, so it’s possible that was a contributor.
Ah, yeah, that’s definitely a browser I haven’t tested very much, and it would make sense for it to store less. Really sorry for that experience!