You’re right. His critique is mostly about the decision cutoff rule, and assumes that Givewell has accurately measured the point estimate, given the data. On the other hand, the url you provided shows that taking into account uncertainty can cause the point estimate to shift.
You’re right. His critique is mostly about the decision cutoff rule, and assumes that Givewell has accurately measured the point estimate, given the data. On the other hand, the url you provided shows that taking into account uncertainty can cause the point estimate to shift.