The first bullet point of the concerned group summarizing their own position was “non-extinction requires many things to go right, some of which seem unlikely”.
This point was notably absent from the sceptics summary of the concerned position.
Both sceptics and concerned agreed that a different important point on the concerned side was that it’s harder to use base rates for unprecedented events with unclear reference classes.
I think these both provide a much better characterisation of the difference than the quote you’re responding to.
The first bullet point of the concerned group summarizing their own position was “non-extinction requires many things to go right, some of which seem unlikely”.
This point was notably absent from the sceptics summary of the concerned position.
Both sceptics and concerned agreed that a different important point on the concerned side was that it’s harder to use base rates for unprecedented events with unclear reference classes.
I think these both provide a much better characterisation of the difference than the quote you’re responding to.