Speaking just for myself (RE: malaria), the topline figures include adjustments for various estimates around how much USAID funding might be reinstated, as well as discounts for redistribution / compensation by other actors, rather than forecasting an 100% cut over the entire time periods (which was the initial brief, and a reasonable starting point at the time but became less likely to be a good assumption by the time of publication).
Speaking just for myself (RE: malaria), the topline figures include adjustments for various estimates around how much USAID funding might be reinstated, as well as discounts for redistribution / compensation by other actors, rather than forecasting an 100% cut over the entire time periods (which was the initial brief, and a reasonable starting point at the time but became less likely to be a good assumption by the time of publication).
My 1 year / 5 year estimates without these discounts are approx. 130k to 270k and 720k to 1.5m respectively.