I didn’t quite understand you’re example though, so this might be a misunderstanding. I guess what you mean is that for a risk where we might be in a dangerous phase for longer (e.g. syn bio), the safety work should be done sooner, but it may mostly get done after the risk arrives?
That would be true. But the point would remain that work done decades before the risk appears has lower value.
If you thought that AI could arrive in 10 years and the safety work would only get done in 20 years that’s a reason to do the work more quickly of course. But I don’t think that’s actually what you mean?
I didn’t quite understand you’re example though, so this might be a misunderstanding. I guess what you mean is that for a risk where we might be in a dangerous phase for longer (e.g. syn bio), the safety work should be done sooner, but it may mostly get done after the risk arrives?
That would be true. But the point would remain that work done decades before the risk appears has lower value.
If you thought that AI could arrive in 10 years and the safety work would only get done in 20 years that’s a reason to do the work more quickly of course. But I don’t think that’s actually what you mean?