I think the issue is not the energy source/density, the issue is amount of particles in the atmosphere, Sagan/TTAPS is on record saying that the amount of particles is the same magnitude in the Kuwait fires as in their model, in addition at least in theirs simulations the burning of oil/gas deposits within cities like in gas stations cars etc… is what produced the most amount of the particles and particles in the correct mass that would rise and produce the most damage by “self lofting” into the upper layers—hence his predictions.
Also the the nuclear mushroom is completely irrelevant it contributes negligible amounts to particles in the atmosphere, it is not surprising that some smoke is thrown from the blast, but to get “Nuclear Winter” from the model/simulations the main source are the fires and the proposition that the particles will “self loft” and rise and rise and rise....., yet it seems that the fires do not produce any “self lofting”, in addition as far as i recall they are also not blocking as much of sun energy as proposed.
Note that it is not that they were a little off, they were completely wrong, more over it was probably completely politically motivated (it is for a good cause so it is ok to inflate inflate and inflate) but we should be really skeptical.
I think the issue is not the energy source/density, the issue is amount of particles in the atmosphere, Sagan/TTAPS is on record saying that the amount of particles is the same magnitude in the Kuwait fires as in their model, in addition at least in theirs simulations the burning of oil/gas deposits within cities like in gas stations cars etc… is what produced the most amount of the particles and particles in the correct mass that would rise and produce the most damage by “self lofting” into the upper layers—hence his predictions.
Also the the nuclear mushroom is completely irrelevant it contributes negligible amounts to particles in the atmosphere, it is not surprising that some smoke is thrown from the blast, but to get “Nuclear Winter” from the model/simulations the main source are the fires and the proposition that the particles will “self loft” and rise and rise and rise....., yet it seems that the fires do not produce any “self lofting”, in addition as far as i recall they are also not blocking as much of sun energy as proposed.
Note that it is not that they were a little off, they were completely wrong, more over it was probably completely politically motivated (it is for a good cause so it is ok to inflate inflate and inflate) but we should be really skeptical.
>I think the issue is not the energy source/density
I would invite you to read the 2007 and subsequent research on nuclear winter and reconsider your statement on meaningful parameters.
Try starting here: http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/nuclear/#Publications
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