Sure, but is the probability of it being permanent more like 0.05 or 10^-6? I would guess more like 0.05. (Given modern technology and particularly the possibility of AI and the singularity.)
It depends on the specific definition of global dictactorship and the number of years. However, the major problem is that I have very little to say about what will happen further than 100 years into the future other than thinking that whatever is happening will continue to change, and is not determined by what we do now.
By “permanent”, I mean >10 billion years. By “global”, I mean “it ‘controls’ >80% of resources under earth originating civilization control”. (Where control evolves with the extent to which technology allows for control.)
Thanks for clarifying! Based on that, and Wikipedia’s definition of dictactorship as “an autocratic form of government which is characterized by a leader, or a group of leaders, who hold governmental powers with few to no limitations”, I would say more like 10^-6. However, I do not think this matters, because that far into the future I would no longer be confident to say which form of government is better or worse.
Sure, but is the probability of it being permanent more like 0.05 or 10^-6? I would guess more like 0.05. (Given modern technology and particularly the possibility of AI and the singularity.)
It depends on the specific definition of global dictactorship and the number of years. However, the major problem is that I have very little to say about what will happen further than 100 years into the future other than thinking that whatever is happening will continue to change, and is not determined by what we do now.
By “permanent”, I mean >10 billion years. By “global”, I mean “it ‘controls’ >80% of resources under earth originating civilization control”. (Where control evolves with the extent to which technology allows for control.)
Thanks for clarifying! Based on that, and Wikipedia’s definition of dictactorship as “an autocratic form of government which is characterized by a leader, or a group of leaders, who hold governmental powers with few to no limitations”, I would say more like 10^-6. However, I do not think this matters, because that far into the future I would no longer be confident to say which form of government is better or worse.