10^24 population expectation seems like the key assumption here. It’s easy to get that wrong by several orders of magnitude. All other assumptions are irrelevant if you assume that.
Perhaps we could work with probability distributions instead of point estimates.
10^24 population expectation seems like the key assumption here. It’s easy to get that wrong by several orders of magnitude. All other assumptions are irrelevant if you assume that.
Perhaps we could work with probability distributions instead of point estimates.