Except this comes all the way from 2011 so can’t really be used to strongly argue EA has recently moved away from explicit EV calculations. It looks more likely that strong skepticism of explicit EV calculations has been a feature of the EA community since its inception.
I immediately thought of GiveWell’s Why We Can’t take EV Calculations Literally Even When They’re Unbiased: https://blog.givewell.org/2011/08/18/why-we-cant-take-expected-value-estimates-literally-even-when-theyre-unbiased/
Except this comes all the way from 2011 so can’t really be used to strongly argue EA has recently moved away from explicit EV calculations. It looks more likely that strong skepticism of explicit EV calculations has been a feature of the EA community since its inception.