This is a great summary! Just want to comment that I’m currently doing some empirical projects about whether/​how much people in fact discount estimates of interventions’ effectiveness when they know they’re selected from the extremes of uncertain distributions. If you know people involved in empirical work on this topic, I’d love to meet them! My email is carterallen@berkeley.edu.
This is a great summary! Just want to comment that I’m currently doing some empirical projects about whether/​how much people in fact discount estimates of interventions’ effectiveness when they know they’re selected from the extremes of uncertain distributions. If you know people involved in empirical work on this topic, I’d love to meet them! My email is carterallen@berkeley.edu.