“Imagine that we spend the entire next century prioritizing the very long-term future, only to find out that humanity is sure to go extinct the next day. Would it not feel like we have made a big blunder?”
No more than we would have feel we had made a big blunder if we invested in a pension, only to find out that we have terminal cancer and won’t live to draw that pension. Uncertainty still requires action.
“Imagine that we spend the entire next century prioritizing the very long-term future, only to find out that humanity is sure to go extinct the next day. Would it not feel like we have made a big blunder?”
No more than we would have feel we had made a big blunder if we invested in a pension, only to find out that we have terminal cancer and won’t live to draw that pension. Uncertainty still requires action.