FWIW we’d love something like this in Manifold too, but that’s probably a bit farther out; Metaculus is much better developed in terms of complex in-depth estimation/forecasting, while Manifold is trying to focus on being as simple as possible.
FWIW we’d love something like this in Manifold too, but that’s probably a bit farther out; Metaculus is much better developed in terms of complex in-depth estimation/forecasting, while Manifold is trying to focus on being as simple as possible.