This might take care of the wager’s implications for what we should try to believe ourselves, but it would probably have weird implications of its own (for fanatical EAs, at least). It might suggest that critical thinking courses have a much higher expected utility than bed nets.
Ha, yes, I think other comments (e.g. Zach’s) are better getting at the deeper issues here. It’s hard to explain why, but it sure does seem crazy to allow the tiniest chances of infinite value to swamp all else.
This might take care of the wager’s implications for what we should try to believe ourselves, but it would probably have weird implications of its own (for fanatical EAs, at least). It might suggest that critical thinking courses have a much higher expected utility than bed nets.
Ha, yes, I think other comments (e.g. Zach’s) are better getting at the deeper issues here. It’s hard to explain why, but it sure does seem crazy to allow the tiniest chances of infinite value to swamp all else.