What is your probability of human extinction in the 10 years following the achievement of artificial superintelligence (ASI) as defined by AI Futures?
Conditional on ASI being developed using anything resembling current techniques, I’d guess there’s an 80% chance of human extinction. On longer timelines, there’s a better chance that we work out better alignment techniques.
What is your probability of human extinction in the 10 years following the achievement of artificial superintelligence (ASI) as defined by AI Futures?
Conditional on ASI being developed using anything resembling current techniques, I’d guess there’s an 80% chance of human extinction. On longer timelines, there’s a better chance that we work out better alignment techniques.