I was fuzzy about what I wanted to communicate with the term “careful”, thanks for spelling out your perspective here. I’m still a little uneasy about the idea that generally improving the ability to plan better will also make sufficiently many actors more careful about avoiding problems that are particularly risky for our future. It just seems so rare that important actors care enough about such risks, even for things that humanity is able to predict and plan for reasonably well, like pandemics.
We’re also only reporting our current guess for how things will turn out. We’re monitoring how Elicit is used and we’ll study its impacts and the anticipated impacts of future features, and if it turns out that the costs outweigh the benefits we will adjust our plans.
Thanks a lot for elaborating, makes sense to me.
I was fuzzy about what I wanted to communicate with the term “careful”, thanks for spelling out your perspective here. I’m still a little uneasy about the idea that generally improving the ability to plan better will also make sufficiently many actors more careful about avoiding problems that are particularly risky for our future. It just seems so rare that important actors care enough about such risks, even for things that humanity is able to predict and plan for reasonably well, like pandemics.
We’re also only reporting our current guess for how things will turn out. We’re monitoring how Elicit is used and we’ll study its impacts and the anticipated impacts of future features, and if it turns out that the costs outweigh the benefits we will adjust our plans.