I will publicly predict now that there will be no AGI in the next 20 years. I expect significant achievements will be made, but only in areas where large amounts of relevant training data exist or can be easily generated. It will also struggle to catch on in areas like healthcare where misfiring results cause large damage and lawsuits.
I will also predict that there might be a “stall” of AI progress in a few years, once all the low-hanging fruit problems are picked off, and the remaining problems like self-driving cars aren’t well suited for the current advantages of AI.
I will publicly predict now that there will be no AGI in the next 20 years. I expect significant achievements will be made, but only in areas where large amounts of relevant training data exist or can be easily generated. It will also struggle to catch on in areas like healthcare where misfiring results cause large damage and lawsuits.
I will also predict that there might be a “stall” of AI progress in a few years, once all the low-hanging fruit problems are picked off, and the remaining problems like self-driving cars aren’t well suited for the current advantages of AI.