Maybe you’re already aware of ikejime and have concluded that it can’t be cheaply scaled, but in case you haven’t, check it out.
Yeah, I consider that the best case slaughter method and regret that it seems so labor intensive, but seems like there might be other less bad methods than the current status quo
Is this different from GiveWell because GiveWell doesn’t try to estimate, like, the nth-order effects of AMF? I think I’m convinced by the cluelessness explanation that those would cancel out in expectation so we should be fine with first and maybe second-order effects.
Sure, I think 4th+ order effects are likely impossible to model, but 2nd and maybe even 3rd not so much. I’d bet (though far from certain) you could get a well-identified study for the causal effect of e.g. malaria nets on total life years lived/population/pop growth in a certain geographic region, at least for some period of time
(As I responded on Twitter and hope to turn into a forum post) I think aligning intra-EA status with impact is basically the whole point of EA community-building, so this is very important. I would guess that organizational operations is still too low-status and neglected: we need more people who are willing to set up payroll. (Low confidence, willing to be talked out of this, but it seems like the case to me.)
Strong +1 on this, would be a super interesting and productive post IMO!
Yeah, I consider that the best case slaughter method and regret that it seems so labor intensive, but seems like there might be other less bad methods than the current status quo
Sure, I think 4th+ order effects are likely impossible to model, but 2nd and maybe even 3rd not so much. I’d bet (though far from certain) you could get a well-identified study for the causal effect of e.g. malaria nets on total life years lived/population/pop growth in a certain geographic region, at least for some period of time
Strong +1 on this, would be a super interesting and productive post IMO!