Though the probability distiribution would have to be conditional on people in the future not trying to optimise the future. (You could have a “no easy eutopia” view, but expect that people in the future will optimise toward the good and hit the narrow target, and therefore have a curve that’s more like the green line).
I like the figure!
Though the probability distiribution would have to be conditional on people in the future not trying to optimise the future. (You could have a “no easy eutopia” view, but expect that people in the future will optimise toward the good and hit the narrow target, and therefore have a curve that’s more like the green line).