I should say though that based on my conversations at the time, it seemed unlikely that alt proteins will make a big difference.
Interesting. I think changes in diet, not global catastrophes, are the driver of reductions in the number of farmed animals. I guess alternative proteins will have a negligible effect over the next 10 years, but that their effect may well be the most important one in 100 years.
You are right that my use of the word ‘probability’ for the yellow line was a bit misleading. 1% decrease in the yellow line could mean either
1% chance that there is no more animal farming because of an x-risk or something
1% reduction in meat production due to alt proteins
I should say though that based on my conversations at the time, it seemed unlikely that alt proteins will make a big difference.
Interesting. I think changes in diet, not global catastrophes, are the driver of reductions in the number of farmed animals. I guess alternative proteins will have a negligible effect over the next 10 years, but that their effect may well be the most important one in 100 years.