When local residents successfully protest against a planned chicken farm, production will likely increase elsewhere to meet demand—but how quickly? I found no clear methodology to estimate this and received no definitive answers when I asked on an economics forum. As far as I know, it could take anywhere from a week to 20 years, and the choice massively impacts cost-effectiveness.
I agree a farm being blocked can decrease anything from a 1 farm-week to 20 farm-years. Gemini says random broiler farms in Poland have an expected lifespan of 31.2 years, which I see as an upper bound for the reduction in farm-years. I also believe the lower bound is very low because the industry could more applications to build farms such that the expected number of accepted ones changes very little.
Hi Saulius.
I agree a farm being blocked can decrease anything from a 1 farm-week to 20 farm-years. Gemini says random broiler farms in Poland have an expected lifespan of 31.2 years, which I see as an upper bound for the reduction in farm-years. I also believe the lower bound is very low because the industry could more applications to build farms such that the expected number of accepted ones changes very little.