Tic-tac-toe is a solved game. We are (or easily can be) intelligence-complete for tic-tac-toe (h/t Jonathan Yan for this concept). For playing tic-tac-toe, no further gains in intelligence matters, and if tic-tac-toe is the entire game, that’s where selection pressure for higher intelligence ends.
A gas in a box is a dynamic equilibrium. You can model it as a gas in a box, use some general laws to predict its behaviour, and that game is imperceptibly close to being solved. Gains from further intelligence at this game are negligible, and may not even be worth the cost. Do not fool yourself into thinking that meaningfwl selection pressure for higher intelligence will continue forever just because there are 10^100 atoms in the sky.
Gains from generalisation (i.e. what you call “knowledge explosion”) do not always scale faster than gains from specialisation and market segmentation. A population of foxes may grow exponentially given a rabbit overhang, but not forever.
I’m not saying I know anything, I’m just saying I don’t see why I should aim to die with dignity just yet.
[Edit: When I say “do not fool yourself”, I’m not attacking anyone. I didn’t realise how this looked before now. I mean it as “here’s a general rule for us all that I’m sure we’ll agree on, but I’m saying it anyway to emphasise the point” or something.]
Tic-tac-toe is a solved game. We are (or easily can be) intelligence-complete for tic-tac-toe (h/t Jonathan Yan for this concept). For playing tic-tac-toe, no further gains in intelligence matters, and if tic-tac-toe is the entire game, that’s where selection pressure for higher intelligence ends.
A gas in a box is a dynamic equilibrium. You can model it as a gas in a box, use some general laws to predict its behaviour, and that game is imperceptibly close to being solved. Gains from further intelligence at this game are negligible, and may not even be worth the cost. Do not fool yourself into thinking that meaningfwl selection pressure for higher intelligence will continue forever just because there are 10^100 atoms in the sky.
Gains from generalisation (i.e. what you call “knowledge explosion”) do not always scale faster than gains from specialisation and market segmentation. A population of foxes may grow exponentially given a rabbit overhang, but not forever.
I’m not saying I know anything, I’m just saying I don’t see why I should aim to die with dignity just yet.
[Edit: When I say “do not fool yourself”, I’m not attacking anyone. I didn’t realise how this looked before now. I mean it as “here’s a general rule for us all that I’m sure we’ll agree on, but I’m saying it anyway to emphasise the point” or something.]