Given an aligned AGI, what is your point estimate for the TOTAL (across all human history) cost in USD of having aligned it?
To hopefully spare you a bit of googling without unduly anchoring your thinking, Wiki says the Manhattan Project cost $21-23 billion in 2018 USD, with only about 3.7% or $786m of that being research and development.
This is such an interesting question. I’m not sure I have a sensible answer. Like, I feel like the present bottleneck on Alignment progress is entirely a question of getting good people doing helpful conceptual work, but afterwards indeed a lot of funding will be needed to align the AI, and I’ve not got a sense of how much money we might need to keep aside until then—e.g. is it more or less than OpenPhil’s current total?
Given an aligned AGI, what is your point estimate for the TOTAL (across all human history) cost in USD of having aligned it?
To hopefully spare you a bit of googling without unduly anchoring your thinking, Wiki says the Manhattan Project cost $21-23 billion in 2018 USD, with only about 3.7% or $786m of that being research and development.
This is such an interesting question. I’m not sure I have a sensible answer. Like, I feel like the present bottleneck on Alignment progress is entirely a question of getting good people doing helpful conceptual work, but afterwards indeed a lot of funding will be needed to align the AI, and I’ve not got a sense of how much money we might need to keep aside until then—e.g. is it more or less than OpenPhil’s current total?