I would predict maybe 65% chance of outcome #1 (50% chance everyone dies, 15% chance we get mind uploads or something); 15% chance of #2; 15% chance of #6; low chance of #3 or #4; basically zero chance of #5.
I would predict maybe 65% chance of outcome #1 (50% chance everyone dies, 15% chance we get mind uploads or something); 15% chance of #2; 15% chance of #6; low chance of #3 or #4; basically zero chance of #5.