As I understand it, the Moderna human trial should have safety data good enough for real-world purposes in about two months. It’s a test of 45 people, so if 7% of the population is infected by that time (as seems likely) and none of the vaccinated people are, that’s p<0.05 that it’s effective, even though they weren’t deliberately testing that.
Granted, the vaccine might *not* work, in which case we need a different angle.
But if it does, the FDA will then delay it another year or two. Does anyone know of any leverage at all that could be exerted over the FDA?
There is a new animal in the room: private pay-to-play clinical trials in third countries. In one case, people have to pay 1 million USD to enrol into an anti-aging clinical trial. Some of them could be scams. But it an option to take the risk and get the vaccine earlier for customers, and to get volunteers for the company.
As I understand it, the Moderna human trial should have safety data good enough for real-world purposes in about two months. It’s a test of 45 people, so if 7% of the population is infected by that time (as seems likely) and none of the vaccinated people are, that’s p<0.05 that it’s effective, even though they weren’t deliberately testing that.
Granted, the vaccine might *not* work, in which case we need a different angle.
But if it does, the FDA will then delay it another year or two. Does anyone know of any leverage at all that could be exerted over the FDA?
There is a new animal in the room: private pay-to-play clinical trials in third countries. In one case, people have to pay 1 million USD to enrol into an anti-aging clinical trial. Some of them could be scams. But it an option to take the risk and get the vaccine earlier for customers, and to get volunteers for the company.
EDITED: Andre Watson will be now live about private vaccine creation: https://www.facebook.com/events/516073069307382/