I think this could be a very useful tool for improving public knowledge about the uncertainties in various areas of science.
But I wonder how can prediction markets be effectively implemented in decision-making processes.
For example, if there’s a vaccine going through testing, or an intervention being studied, do you think there could be a smart way to integrate prediction markets into more optimal policy decisions?
You could also go the other way and call out interventions, policies, and other currently implemented things based on uncertainty in the prediction markets.
I think this could be a very useful tool for improving public knowledge about the uncertainties in various areas of science.
But I wonder how can prediction markets be effectively implemented in decision-making processes.
For example, if there’s a vaccine going through testing, or an intervention being studied, do you think there could be a smart way to integrate prediction markets into more optimal policy decisions?
You could also go the other way and call out interventions, policies, and other currently implemented things based on uncertainty in the prediction markets.