4 - Following the crisis, the movement enters a period of retrenchment and disillusionment—this is where EA is currently. This decline could take a variety of forms: declining numbers of explicitly signed-up members, the gradual plateauing and waning of the group’s political influence, or significant numbers of prominent members distancing themselves from the movement. This is the most ‘you know it when you see it’ criteria of the four presented, and hard to be exact about historically as often the rise of movements are more closely studied than the gradual falls. Nevertheless, all of the candidates I’ve found do show this pattern of decline.
Were movements in which adherents / influence / resources flowed ~productively into a ~spiritual-successor movement within the scope of your research? Admittedly, drawing a line between the original movement and the spiritual successor movement could be a bit tricky.
Conditioned on EA is in decline, we might be able to learn from those kinds of movements how to decline gracefully and in a way that best empowers spiritual-successor movements.
Were movements in which adherents / influence / resources flowed ~productively into a ~spiritual-successor movement within the scope of your research? Admittedly, drawing a line between the original movement and the spiritual successor movement could be a bit tricky.
Conditioned on EA is in decline, we might be able to learn from those kinds of movements how to decline gracefully and in a way that best empowers spiritual-successor movements.