Killer. Psyched about the reading group. Miami overlaps with a surgery for me unfortunately.
Worried about a theory of change for anything in this direction, always feels a little “if the users would just …” to me. Worried that no matter how right we can become about the perfect incentive machine of a meticulously designed market, assuming we solved everything about calibration concerns and how we know we’re right, we wouldn’t be able to do the product engineering to back it up, wouldn’t get adoption, etc.
Seems like this is a case where timelines research is deeply actionable. Borrowing a little from Soares’ objection to his model of Critch, I think the “crunch time” for mechdzn strategies leads deployment by an order of decades.
Killer. Psyched about the reading group. Miami overlaps with a surgery for me unfortunately.
Worried about a theory of change for anything in this direction, always feels a little “if the users would just …” to me. Worried that no matter how right we can become about the perfect incentive machine of a meticulously designed market, assuming we solved everything about calibration concerns and how we know we’re right, we wouldn’t be able to do the product engineering to back it up, wouldn’t get adoption, etc.
Seems like this is a case where timelines research is deeply actionable. Borrowing a little from Soares’ objection to his model of Critch, I think the “crunch time” for mechdzn strategies leads deployment by an order of decades.