Thanks for sharing this! I found it interesting to read about your process. In case someone wants to read a summary — Zoe has one!
Assorted highlights/insights I pulled out while reading:
Useful for engagement (“Drop-off across the six months of our tournament is around 75% (from ∿160 to ∿40 weekly active participants)”): prizes for the most informative rationales in each thematic “challenge” (every 3 weeks), having some questions designed to resolve quite soon after opening to provide early feedback (although it’s important to avoid making these distracting)
This was an interesting section: “The involvement of domain experts was useful especially to increase trust and prevent future public criticism”
“when the Russian invasion of Ukraine started, it became clear that many of the refugees would flee to the Czech Republic. Our forecasters quickly made a forecast, and we used it to create 2 scenarios (300k and 500k incoming refugees). We then used these scenarios in our joint analysis with PAQ Research on how to effectively integrate the Ukrainian immigrants. The study was then used by multiple Czech ministries in creating programs of support for housing, education, and employment. This happened at a time when widely circulated estimates spoke of tens of thousands of such arrivals by the end of 2022. In reality, it was over 430 thousand people.”
Thanks for sharing this! I found it interesting to read about your process. In case someone wants to read a summary — Zoe has one!
Assorted highlights/insights I pulled out while reading:
Useful for engagement (“Drop-off across the six months of our tournament is around 75% (from ∿160 to ∿40 weekly active participants)”): prizes for the most informative rationales in each thematic “challenge” (every 3 weeks), having some questions designed to resolve quite soon after opening to provide early feedback (although it’s important to avoid making these distracting)
This was an interesting section: “The involvement of domain experts was useful especially to increase trust and prevent future public criticism”
“when the Russian invasion of Ukraine started, it became clear that many of the refugees would flee to the Czech Republic. Our forecasters quickly made a forecast, and we used it to create 2 scenarios (300k and 500k incoming refugees). We then used these scenarios in our joint analysis with PAQ Research on how to effectively integrate the Ukrainian immigrants. The study was then used by multiple Czech ministries in creating programs of support for housing, education, and employment. This happened at a time when widely circulated estimates spoke of tens of thousands of such arrivals by the end of 2022. In reality, it was over 430 thousand people.”