Sure it is, but I know a lot more about myself than I do about other people. I could make a good guess on impact on myself of a worse guess on impact on others. It’s a bias/variance trade-off of sorts.
I’d say the two are valuable in different ways, not that one is necessarily better than the other.
If you understand economic and political history well enough to know what’s really gotten you where you are today, then you already have the tools to make those judgments about a much larger class of people. Actually I think that if you were to make the arguments for exactly how D-Day or women’s rights for instance helped you then you would be relying on a broader generalization about how they helped large classes of people.
Sure it is, but I know a lot more about myself than I do about other people. I could make a good guess on impact on myself of a worse guess on impact on others. It’s a bias/variance trade-off of sorts.
I’d say the two are valuable in different ways, not that one is necessarily better than the other.
If you understand economic and political history well enough to know what’s really gotten you where you are today, then you already have the tools to make those judgments about a much larger class of people. Actually I think that if you were to make the arguments for exactly how D-Day or women’s rights for instance helped you then you would be relying on a broader generalization about how they helped large classes of people.