It’s strange to me that this is aimed at people who aren’t aware that MIRI staffers are quite pessimistic about AGI risk.
It’s not. It’s mainly aimed at people who found it bizarre and hard-to-understand that Nate views AGI risk as highly disjunctive. (Even after reading all the disjunctive arguments in AGI Ruin.) This post is primarily aimed at people who understand that MIRI folks are pessimistic, but don’t understand where “it’s disjunctive” is coming from.
It’s not. It’s mainly aimed at people who found it bizarre and hard-to-understand that Nate views AGI risk as highly disjunctive. (Even after reading all the disjunctive arguments in AGI Ruin.) This post is primarily aimed at people who understand that MIRI folks are pessimistic, but don’t understand where “it’s disjunctive” is coming from.