Also, if you had asked for growth predictions in September 2022 -- and told the forecasters that 2023 would be a year in which public awareness of / interest in the nearness and risks of powerful AI greatly increased—one would likely factor this information into the prediction in addition to historical trends.
By rough analogy, if the stock market is unexpectedly up 25 percent over last year, your sector is up 35 percent, but your company’s stock is flat . . . the market seems to be saying something negative about your company. The flat stock value may well mean that positive macroeconomic trends and sector trends have been cancelled out by negative outlook on your company.
Also, if you had asked for growth predictions in September 2022 -- and told the forecasters that 2023 would be a year in which public awareness of / interest in the nearness and risks of powerful AI greatly increased—one would likely factor this information into the prediction in addition to historical trends.
By rough analogy, if the stock market is unexpectedly up 25 percent over last year, your sector is up 35 percent, but your company’s stock is flat . . . the market seems to be saying something negative about your company. The flat stock value may well mean that positive macroeconomic trends and sector trends have been cancelled out by negative outlook on your company.