Far-future effects are the most important determinant of what we ought to do
Far-future effects are so hypothetical that they cannot be used as a determinant for our actions. The counterfactual branching factor is so high that your present action can only apply to a minuscule number of futures. Our time and effort should have an exponential decay—focus most of the effort on the present and (a/b)^y for each year where a/b < 1
Far-future effects are so hypothetical that they cannot be used as a determinant for our actions. The counterfactual branching factor is so high that your present action can only apply to a minuscule number of futures. Our time and effort should have an exponential decay—focus most of the effort on the present and (a/b)^y for each year where a/b < 1