The slope, intercept, correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination, and standard error of the slope of the linear regression of the annual amount granted by Open Philanthropy (OP) by focus area on year, from 2015 to 2021, is in tab “Annual amount granted” of this Sheets.
Methodology
OP’s grants data were downloaded from here (see tab “Grants”). All the amounts were converted to current USD (15 August 2022 prices) using inflation data from in2013dollars (see tab “Inflation”).
The above data were used to calculate, by focus area from 2015 to 2021:
The annual amount granted.
The slope, intercept, correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R^2), and standard error of the slope of the linear regression of the annual amount granted on year.
Results
The slope and coefficient of determination are presented in the table below, ordered by increasing slope (note the last row respects all areas). The full results are in tab “Annual amount granted”.
Focus area
Slope (M$/year)
Coefficient of determination
Science for Global Health
-0.966
0.057
Scientific Innovation: Tools and Techniques
-0.015
0.000
History of Philanthropy
-0.007
0.045
Effective Altruism Community Growth (Global Health and Wellbeing)
0.070
0.375
South Asian Air Quality
0.115
0.550
Global Aid Policy
0.123
0.375
Cage-Free Reforms
0.294
0.009
Immigration Policy
0.316
0.335
Global Health & Wellbeing
0.409
0.295
Macroeconomic Stabilization Policy
0.538
0.464
Transformative Basic Science
0.706
0.036
Land Use Reform
0.753
0.463
Scientific Research
0.889
0.231
Alternatives to Animal Products
0.895
0.501
Broiler Chicken Welfare
1.231
0.252
Other Scientific Research Areas
1.298
0.592
Science Supporting Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness
1.610
0.197
Other Areas
1.818
0.721
Effective Altruism Community Growth
2.243
0.542
Potential Risks from Advanced AI
3.067
0.375
Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness
3.880
0.413
Global Health & Development
3.914
0.106
GiveWell-Recommended Charities
3.947
0.040
Human Health and Wellbeing
5.803
0.574
Criminal Justice Reform
7.586
0.398
Farm Animal Welfare
8.127
0.560
Longtermism
8.845
0.373
All
57.489
0.708
Discussion
The total annual amount granted has increased 57.5 M$/year from 2015 to 2021, with a coefficient of correlation of 0.708. Amongst the 27 focus areas, the slope is:
Negative for 3.
Between 0 and 1 M$/year for 11.
Between 1 M$/year and 10 M$/year for 13.
The lowest for science for global health (-1 M$/year), scientific innovation tools and techniques (-0.02 M$/year), and history of philanthropy (-0.007 M$/year).
The highest for longtermism (9 M$/year), farm animal welfare (8 M$/year), and criminal justice reform (8 M$/year).
Linear regressions of the annual amount granted by Open Philanthropy by focus area
Summary
The slope, intercept, correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination, and standard error of the slope of the linear regression of the annual amount granted by Open Philanthropy (OP) by focus area on year, from 2015 to 2021, is in tab “Annual amount granted” of this Sheets.
Methodology
OP’s grants data were downloaded from here (see tab “Grants”). All the amounts were converted to current USD (15 August 2022 prices) using inflation data from in2013dollars (see tab “Inflation”).
The above data were used to calculate, by focus area from 2015 to 2021:
The annual amount granted.
The slope, intercept, correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R^2), and standard error of the slope of the linear regression of the annual amount granted on year.
Results
The slope and coefficient of determination are presented in the table below, ordered by increasing slope (note the last row respects all areas). The full results are in tab “Annual amount granted”.
Discussion
The total annual amount granted has increased 57.5 M$/year from 2015 to 2021, with a coefficient of correlation of 0.708. Amongst the 27 focus areas, the slope is:
Negative for 3.
Between 0 and 1 M$/year for 11.
Between 1 M$/year and 10 M$/year for 13.
The lowest for science for global health (-1 M$/year), scientific innovation tools and techniques (-0.02 M$/year), and history of philanthropy (-0.007 M$/year).
The highest for longtermism (9 M$/year), farm animal welfare (8 M$/year), and criminal justice reform (8 M$/year).