asteroid detection [...] approximately 300,000 additional lives in expectation for each $100 spent. [...]
Preventing future pandemics [...] 200 million extra lives in expectation for each $100 spent. [...]
the best available near-term-focused interventions save approximately 0.025 lives per $100 spent (source)
We should have a dashboard that tracks expected value per dollar for each cause area. This could be measured in lives saved, QALYs, marginal utility, etc, and could be measured per $1, $100, $1M, etc. We’d also want an estimate of diminishing returns: how much smaller would the expected value be for the next funding increment? And we should represent uncertainty by using a probability distribution instead of point estimates.
We should have a dashboard that tracks expected value per dollar for each cause area. This could be measured in lives saved, QALYs, marginal utility, etc, and could be measured per $1, $100, $1M, etc. We’d also want an estimate of diminishing returns: how much smaller would the expected value be for the next funding increment? And we should represent uncertainty by using a probability distribution instead of point estimates.