But if it’s $21 billion total in Anthropic equity, that $21 billion is going to be almost all of the employees’ lifetime net worth — as far as we know and as far as they know. So, why would this $21 billion all get spent in the next 2-6 years?
If we assume, quite optimistically, half of the equity belongs to people who want to give to EA-related organizations, and they want to give 50% of their net worth to those organizations over the next 2-6 years, that’s around $5 billion over the next 2-6 years.
If Open Philanthropy/​Coefficient Giving is spending $1 billion a year like you said, that’s around one OP/​CG, not ten.
If OP/​CG is really spending $1 billion/​year, then OP/​CG must have a lot more donations coming in from people other than Dustin Moskovitz or Cari Tuna than I realized. Either that or they’re spending down their fortune much faster than I thought.
But if it’s $21 billion total in Anthropic equity, that $21 billion is going to be almost all of the employees’ lifetime net worth — as far as we know and as far as they know. So, why would this $21 billion all get spent in the next 2-6 years?
If we assume, quite optimistically, half of the equity belongs to people who want to give to EA-related organizations, and they want to give 50% of their net worth to those organizations over the next 2-6 years, that’s around $5 billion over the next 2-6 years.
If Open Philanthropy/​Coefficient Giving is spending $1 billion a year like you said, that’s around one OP/​CG, not ten.
If OP/​CG is really spending $1 billion/​year, then OP/​CG must have a lot more donations coming in from people other than Dustin Moskovitz or Cari Tuna than I realized. Either that or they’re spending down their fortune much faster than I thought.