Overal I think more people who have insights on cause prio should be saying: if I had a billion dollars, here’s how I’d spend it, and why.
I see some value in this. However, I would be much more interested in how they would decrease the uncertainty about cause prioritisation, which is super large. I would spend at least 1 %, 10 M$ (= 0.01*1*10^9), decreasing the uncertainty about comparisons of expected hedonistic welfare across species and substrates (biological or not). Relatedly, RP has a research agenda about interspecies welfare comparisons more broadly (not just under expectationaltotalhedonisticutilitarianism).
I definitely think this should happen too, but reducing uncertainty about cause prio beyond what has already been done to date is a much much bigger and harder ask than ‘share your best guess of how you would allocate a billion dollars’.
I see some value in this. However, I would be much more interested in how they would decrease the uncertainty about cause prioritisation, which is super large. I would spend at least 1 %, 10 M$ (= 0.01*1*10^9), decreasing the uncertainty about comparisons of expected hedonistic welfare across species and substrates (biological or not). Relatedly, RP has a research agenda about interspecies welfare comparisons more broadly (not just under expectationaltotal hedonistic utilitarianism).
I definitely think this should happen too, but reducing uncertainty about cause prio beyond what has already been done to date is a much much bigger and harder ask than ‘share your best guess of how you would allocate a billion dollars’.