This looks evermore unlikely. I guess I didn’t properly account for:
the counterfactual to OpenAI collapse was much of it moving to Microsoft, which the board would’ve wanted to prevent
the board apparently not producing any evidence of wrongdoing (I find this very surprising)
Nevertheless, I think speculating on internal politics can be a valuable exercise—being able to model the actions & power of strong bargainers (including bad faith ones) seems a valuable skill for EA.
This looks evermore unlikely. I guess I didn’t properly account for:
the counterfactual to OpenAI collapse was much of it moving to Microsoft, which the board would’ve wanted to prevent
the board apparently not producing any evidence of wrongdoing (I find this very surprising)
Nevertheless, I think speculating on internal politics can be a valuable exercise—being able to model the actions & power of strong bargainers (including bad faith ones) seems a valuable skill for EA.