Iâve discovered something that is either a bug in the code, or a parameter that isnât explained super well.
Under âHow likely is it to workâ I assume âitâ refers to AGI safety. If so, this parameter is reversedâthe more likely I say AGI safety is to work, the higher the x-risk becomes. If I set it to 0%, the program reliably tells me thereâs no chance the world ends.
I made the text a bit more clear. As for the bug, it didnât affect the end result of the Fermi estimation but how I computed the intermediate âprobability of doomâ was wrong: I forgot to take into account situations where AGI safety ended up being impossible⌠It is fixed now.
Iâve discovered something that is either a bug in the code, or a parameter that isnât explained super well.
Under âHow likely is it to workâ I assume âitâ refers to AGI safety. If so, this parameter is reversedâthe more likely I say AGI safety is to work, the higher the x-risk becomes. If I set it to 0%, the program reliably tells me thereâs no chance the world ends.
I made the text a bit more clear. As for the bug, it didnât affect the end result of the Fermi estimation but how I computed the intermediate âprobability of doomâ was wrong: I forgot to take into account situations where AGI safety ended up being impossible⌠It is fixed now.
Thank you for the feedback!