I talked to people who think defaults should be higher. I really don’t know where they should be.
I put “fraction of the work your org. is doing” at 5% because I was thinking about a medium-sized AGI safety organization (there are around 10 of them, so 10% each seems sensible), and because I expect that there will be many more in the future, I put 5%.
I put “how much are you speeding up your org.” at 1%, because there are around 10 people doing core research in each org., but you are only slightly better than the second-best candidate who would have taken the job, so 1% seemed reasonable. I don’t expect this percentage to go down, because as the organization scale up, senior members become more important. Having “better” senior researchers, even if there are hundreds of junior researchers, would probably speed up progress quite a lot.
Where do you think the defaults should be, and why?
I talked to people who think defaults should be higher. I really don’t know where they should be.
I put “fraction of the work your org. is doing” at 5% because I was thinking about a medium-sized AGI safety organization (there are around 10 of them, so 10% each seems sensible), and because I expect that there will be many more in the future, I put 5%.
I put “how much are you speeding up your org.” at 1%, because there are around 10 people doing core research in each org., but you are only slightly better than the second-best candidate who would have taken the job, so 1% seemed reasonable. I don’t expect this percentage to go down, because as the organization scale up, senior members become more important. Having “better” senior researchers, even if there are hundreds of junior researchers, would probably speed up progress quite a lot.
Where do you think the defaults should be, and why?