It seems reasonable to think that there’s a >20% chance[1] that TAI will bring us a ‘technological roadmap’[2] to clean meat within the next 15 years.
it will make ending factory farming much easier, i.e. the cost-effectiveness of factory farming interventions will increase – perhaps by a factor of 2-10x.
I think the second part of this claim ‘much easier … 2-10x’. (albeit including a ‘perhaps’) merits a bit more justification and modeling.
I guess the argument runs A. “once we have the roadmap to clean meat, we will know what the key bottlenecks to it are, and target our funding better”?
or perhaps
B. “once cost-parity clean meat is feasible (or available), campaigns to get companies to use it in their products and restaurants will be more effective than current corporate AW campaigns (for cage-free eggs, etc.”
I think the second part of this claim ‘much easier … 2-10x’. (albeit including a ‘perhaps’) merits a bit more justification and modeling.
I guess the argument runs
A. “once we have the roadmap to clean meat, we will know what the key bottlenecks to it are, and target our funding better”?
or perhaps
B. “once cost-parity clean meat is feasible (or available), campaigns to get companies to use it in their products and restaurants will be more effective than current corporate AW campaigns (for cage-free eggs, etc.”
?