This moves me somewhat, though I would still really love to see a serious examination of nuclear winter to get better estimates, getting to 5% of 95% population loss conditional on nuclear war seems really high esp given it does not seem to condition on great power war alone.
Thanks for doing this (upvoted!).
This moves me somewhat, though I would still really love to see a serious examination of nuclear winter to get better estimates, getting to 5% of 95% population loss conditional on nuclear war seems really high esp given it does not seem to condition on great power war alone.
Agreed!
I have clarified above the 5 % is conditional on a nuclear war causing a population loss of at least 10 % (not just a nuclear war).
Thanks, this makes a lot of sense then!