Thanks! In that case, 92.5 % (= 160⁄173) of the predictions for a population loss of 95 % due to climate change given a 10 % loss due to climate change were made with the 1 % lower limit. So I assume 0.0228 % chance for a 95 % population loss due to climate change is still an overestimate.
It was less than 1 year ago, I would guess around 6 months ago.
Thanks! In that case, 92.5 % (= 160⁄173) of the predictions for a population loss of 95 % due to climate change given a 10 % loss due to climate change were made with the 1 % lower limit. So I assume 0.0228 % chance for a 95 % population loss due to climate change is still an overestimate.