I think a galactic civilisation needs to have absolute existential security, or a galactic x-risk will inevitably occur (i.e., they need a coin that always lands on heads). If your galactic civilisation has survived for longer than you would have expected it to based on cumulative chances, then you can be very confident you’ve achieved absolute existential security (you have that coin). But a galactic civ would have to know whether they have the coin that is always heads, or the coin that is heads 99.9999999% of the time. I’m not sure how that’s possible.
Definitely on base :D
I think a galactic civilisation needs to have absolute existential security, or a galactic x-risk will inevitably occur (i.e., they need a coin that always lands on heads). If your galactic civilisation has survived for longer than you would have expected it to based on cumulative chances, then you can be very confident you’ve achieved absolute existential security (you have that coin). But a galactic civ would have to know whether they have the coin that is always heads, or the coin that is heads 99.9999999% of the time. I’m not sure how that’s possible.